Consumer Activities

Economic data used to gauge consumers’ moods & sentiment and ultimately spending level

Consumer activities account for 70% of US economy
Retail sales is the broadest indicator of consumer activities
Consumer confidence & sentiment are leading indicators for consumer activities

RETAIL SALES

Measures level of consumer spending on goods. It accounts for 70% of economic activity. Obtained from surveying 13,000 retailers. Overly strong retails sales not good for USD in long run.

Retail Sales UP => Inflation UP => Interest rates UP => USD UP

Retail Sales DOWN => Inflation DOWN => Interest rates DOWN => USD DOWN

retail-sales-data
consumer-confidence-data

CONSUMER CONFIDENCE

Examine how consumers feel about changes in labour market, economy & spending. The index consists of Present Situation index and Expectations index.

Confidence DOWN => Inflation DOWN => Interest rates DOWN => USD DOWN

Confidence UP => Inflation UP => Interest rates UP => USD UP

UNIV. OF MICHIGAN CONSUMER SENTIMENT

Assessment of consumers’ attitude on change in business climate, personal finance & shopping. Consists of index of current economic conditions & consumers expectation.

Sentiment UP => Economy UP => USD UP

Sentiment DOWN => Economy DOWN => USD DOWN

consumer-sentiment-data
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