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/*! elementor - v3.21.0 - 25-04-2024 */
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KETERANGAN
* Daily ditutup bearish mengkonfirmasi formasi Evening Star doji sebelumnya -> secara teori masih berpotensi turun
* Geopolitik relatif tenang sampai saat ini -> secara umum belum selesai seutuhnya sehingga patut diwaspadai jika sewaktu-waktu meningkat kembali
* Potensi Head & Shoulder di grafik Daily berhasil tembus di bawah neckline support-> secara teori seharusnya lanjut turun sesuai ketinggian bagian Head
* H4, membentuk bearish flag dan sudah tembus support dari Flag
a. Support terakhir 80.60 -> jika tembus, pertahankan SELL!
b. Resistance terdekat 83.40 -> jika tembus, switch to BUY!
* Switch to BUY hanya jika tembus 83.40!
Suggest : SELL on Rally
Area : 81.80 - 82.00
(alternatif : follow SELL jika tembus 80.60)
Target : 1) 80.80
2) 79.80
Stop Loss : 83.00
DISCLAIMER ON!
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KETERANGAN
* Daily candle ditutup bearish dengan real body panjang -> cenderung turun
* Kecemasan meningkat jelang FOMC Meeting malam nanti, sebagian besar karena indeks biaya tenaga kerja yang panas
* Fokus Data ekonomi :
a. Act > Exp = saham turun karena ekspektasi cut rate Juli/Sept semakin berkurang
b. Act < Exp = saham naik ekspektasi cut rate Juli/Sept meningkat
* Fokus FOMC Meeting -> fokus utama ke press conference/pernyataan Fed/Jerome Powell!
Kekhawatiran utama saat ini adalah Fed mengatakan “terbuka untuk kenaikan suku bunga”
a. Hawkish, ada potensi kenaikan suku bunga = dolar kuat, saham turun -> pertahankan SELL
b. Dovish, tidak ada potensi kenaikan suku bunga = dolar lemah, saham naik -> switch to BUY
* Di H4, support 37967 (FR 61.8%) kembali diuji:
a. Potensi turun berlanjut jika FR 61.8% ditembus -> pertahankan SELL
b. Potensi naik jika 38480 ditembus-> switch to BUY
* SWITCH to BUY jika tembus 38480 !
Suggest : SELL on Rally
Area : 38080 - 38100
Target : 1) 37980
2) 37880
Stop Loss : 38200
DISCLAIMER ON!
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KETERANGAN
* Daily candle ditutup bearish dengan real body panjang -> cenderung turun
* Kecemasan meningkat jelang FOMC Meeting malam nanti, sebagian besar karena indeks biaya tenaga kerja yang panas
* Fokus Data ekonomi :
a. Act > Exp = saham turun karena ekspektasi cut rate Juli/Sept semakin berkurang
b. Act < Exp = saham naik ekspektasi cut rate Juli/Sept meningkat
* Fokus FOMC Meeting -> fokus utama ke press conference/pernyataan Fed/Jerome Powell!
Kekhawatiran utama saat ini adalah Fed mengatakan “terbuka untuk kenaikan suku bunga”
a. Hawkish, ada potensi kenaikan suku bunga = dolar kuat, saham turun -> pertahankan SELL
b. Dovish, tidak ada potensi kenaikan suku bunga = dolar lemah, saham naik -> switch to BUY
* Di H4, support 5050 (FR 38.2% dan trend channel) kembali diuji:
a. Potensi turun berlanjut jika support ditembus -> Follow/pertahankan SELL
b. Potensi naik jika 5100 ditembus-> switch to BUY
* SWITCH to BUY jika tembus 5100 !
Suggest : SELL on Rally
Area : 5060.00 - 5070.00
Target : 1) 5030.00
2) 5000.00
Stop Loss : 5100.00
DISCLAIMER ON!
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KETERANGAN
* Daily candle ditutup bearish dengan real body panjang -> cenderung turun
* Kecemasan meningkat jelang FOMC Meeting malam nanti, sebagian besar karena indeks biaya tenaga kerja yang panas
* Fokus Data ekonomi :
a. Act > Exp = saham turun karena ekspektasi cut rate Juli/Sept semakin berkurang
b. Act < Exp = saham naik ekspektasi cut rate Juli/Sept meningkat
* Fokus FOMC Meeting -> fokus utama ke press conference/pernyataan Fed/Jerome Powell!
Kekhawatiran utama saat ini adalah Fed mengatakan “terbuka untuk kenaikan suku bunga”
a. Hawkish, ada potensi kenaikan suku bunga = dolar kuat, saham turun -> pertahankan SELL
b. Dovish, tidak ada potensi kenaikan suku bunga = dolar lemah, saham naik -> switch to BUY
* Di H4, support 17490 (trend line) kembali diuji:
a. Potensi turun berlanjut jika support ditembus -> Follow/pertahankan SELL
b. Potensi naik jika tembus 17700-> switch to BUY
* SWITCH to BUY jika tembus 17700 !
Suggest : SELL on Rally
Area : 17550.00 - 17570.00
Target : 1) 17450.00
2) 17350.00
Stop Loss : 17670.00
DISCLAIMER ON!
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KETERANGAN
* Candle Daily ditutup shooting star untuk kedua kalinya -> secara teori potensi turun
* Support psikologis 37754 -> jika ditembus, maka berpeluang lanjut turun
* Resistance 38620 -> jika ditembus, maka berpeluang balik naik
* Di H4, kenaikan tertahan di 38620, dan hari ini dibuka gap down
a. support 37754 -> jika tembus, berpotensi lanjut turun!
b. resistance 3843 -> jika tembus, berpotensi berbalik naik, bisa Switch to BUY!! (potensi berikutnya 38620)
* Switch to BUY hanya jika tembus 38430!
Suggest : SELL on Rally
Area : 38200 - 38220
Target : 1) 38100
2) 38000
Stop Loss : 38320
DISCLAIMER ON!
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KETERANGAN
